Spel emot marknaden

Maginfluensa med barn, så ännu mindre tid att översätta :(. Ha överseende med engelskan:
took hannover – gummersbach u 62 1.85+ 2/10 pinnacle
pinny opened with 59 line and most bookies had 60,5 here… obviously everybody is betting on over due to Gummersbach last goal festivals. But, most of them came vs opponents that usually are down for running & gunning (Löwen, hsv, flensburg..). I betted on under with Hannover 3 times this season i think and won all. They are not a overteam like they was in early season. They been struggling with a lot of injuries and most probably therefore had to focus more and more and physical defense and slower pace games. Only thing i don’t like with this bet is that the game is pretty much meaningless. Gummersbach also got a final in euro-cup coming up so i doubt they will go too hard on their best players. If that will lead to more or less goals i don’t know, but still i think this line was correct when it opened around 60. a 62 line is based on a result of 32-30 and no way on earth you can give Hannover 32 goals as fair.

/Bob

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Bob

5 Kommentarer

  1. Storis den 23 maj, 2012 kl 17:17

    Vad tror du om Hannovers vinstchanser? Gummersbach torde väl ha större fokus på returen i cupvinnarcupfinalen nu på fredag?



  2. Bob den 23 maj, 2012 kl 17:41

    Helt klart, men i vanliga fall hade jag spelat Gummersbach +2 alla dagar i veckan här. Svårt att sia om hur Emir matchar sitt Gummers idag, men en bortavinst är absolut ingen större skräll.



  3. Bob den 23 maj, 2012 kl 20:09

    uselt spel….vilken månad puuh 🙁 .



  4. davidd den 24 maj, 2012 kl 09:33

    Vad blev resultatet?



  5. Bob den 24 maj, 2012 kl 10:53

    35-37



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